July definitely has seemed to have a harder time getting precipitation than August recently even up here…but it’s just much harder in general during summer the further south you go. Eugene is basically NorCal climo now.

Just go... unless it was Reed Timmer. The Chicago sirens kinda creep me out (unless they have changed). They are like those old school air raid sirens and don't sound like a normal tornado siren.

The last time that EUG had more than 0.37" of rain in July was in 2011. Or 5434 days ago. That is 7,826,348 minutes ago.

Sent this out to my people a short time ago. Obviously have to try to keep it simple for the masses, lol Update on tomorrow's storms. Maybe a little more clarity, but still plenty of uncertainty... There will be a round of rain/storms in the morning and into the afternoon. This round has a very low (almost zero) chance of producing severe weather in our area, but it will keep the temperatures on the cool side. In fact, it may only be around 60 (or perhaps even in the 50s) into at least the early afternoon, which is quite remarkable for June 17! This stuff will act to hold the warm front well south of us (down in central IL/IN) into the afternoon. Then the big question is what happens after early afternoon. There are a few possible scenarios: Scenario 1: There is little to no break in the rain (0-2 hours long). This would greatly lower the chances of severe weather later in the day, though the chance may not be zero. Scenario 2: There is a 2-4 hour long break in the rain in the afternoon. This scenario would give the warm front more of a chance to lift into our area and our chances of severe weather (including tornadoes) would be substantial... probably more substantial in the event of a 4 hour break instead of a 2 hour break. Scenario 3: There is a longer than 4 hour break in the rain in the afternoon. This scenario would be most concerning of all and would almost guarantee very nasty storms for the area, including a substantial possibility of big, destructive tornadoes. As of now, scenario 3 looks least likely. Scenario 1 or scenario 2 look most likely, but I can't say which one yet. It will require careful hour by hour monitoring tomorrow because that warm front will want to get pushed north quickly from central IL/IN during any breaks in the rain.

About perfect today IMO. 52/78 with a breezy NW wind and partly cloudy skies.