Prisoner of the moment ALERT!

You can more easily when the operational run looks very similar. Sometimes weak troughing actually happens. Its not like every weak trough shown in the ensembles at day 10 automatically becomes super strong as it gets closer.

You can't take ensembles means that far out at face value, though. This became this over the past few days.

Actually these clouds look a tad threatening…Hmmmm..

Absolutely shocker of a HOT take right here.