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The last couple of winters around here have been cool in November with even snow (last year a couple days before Halloween we got accumulating snow), and then warm and dry in December, in fact extremely warm on Christmas Day each of the last 2 years (highs in the 60s). I'm curious to see if this becomes more of a trend or not. We used to get at least one big snowstorm it seemed every December to kickoff winter, but lately December's have not been very snowy. I'd love for that to change this year and get a White Christmas.

FWIW: JB is predicting a warm, mild Winter, so get ready for the opposite. He is notorious for his hype on weather. Pure comedy.

Says the guy who didn’t make a forecast but went out of his way to post only snark in a forecast thread.

Yeah I think the last time I took his forecasts seriously I was like 13.

51° here at this time with a kind of milky sky that is either smoke or high fog. My guess it that it is smoke

What a gorgeous day yesterday as we topped out at 77F with sunshine all day long. Things looked like they dried out a bit and that will allow me to finally do some yard work. A stunning week of weather and filled with bountiful sunshine. These are the Sept days I was looking forward to. A rather strong CF sweeps through Thu and Fri could be a tad nippy with highs in the low 60's. First 40's for overnight lows late week?? Excellent bon fire wx. 00z Euro a wee bit chilly for the GL's Sat morning...

Strange how 72F and sunny now feels like . Just about 10 days ago we were dying for such a day. Nice to be mostly done with a/c tho

I picked up another 0.08" overnight giving my week total 5.87". Definitely on the higher side of what models were showing.

1. Like Dewey said you didn’t make a forecast 2. smoke kept temps down 3. there were other forecast just as bad, some had highs over 100 degrees, why single him out and not others?

Yikes, that will almost certainly negate or lessen the affects of the recent rainfall's impact on the drought. We need to keep cutting into the huge moisture deficits around here, but that doesn't look to be happening anytime soon.

BTW, I’m still working on scoring the contest. I just came down with my sixth round of Covid-19 so it’s hard to focus right now. Will keep you posted.

Smoke didn’t start affecting temps until the 10th (last day of the forecast period) His forecast was probably the best example of a face value regurgitation of raw model output.

1967? The warmest Septembers on record are 2014 and 1994. Also, as was mentioned, the smoke didn’t really start affecting things at the surface until the 10th.

Man, this little bit of snark really didn't age well....

Seeing that temperatures have reached the 90s in some areas with all the smoke the last few days, it is interesting to know what they would have reached without it.

We’re all just guys who say things here

Me tou of.

This thing sure ended up being a dud. No doubt the smoke had something to do with that. At any rate PDX is only running a few degrees above normal for the month to date. 1967 probably has nothing to worry about.