IO convection has trended stronger (and WPAC weaker) as it’s gotten closer in time. Which suggests the low frequency signal (base state) is transitioning into the E-Hem.
Though there is still an increasing WPAC component to tropical forcing over the next few weeks thanks to the MJO, so I don’t think it will fail altogether. It just doesn’t have the steroidal wave-1 signature it did before.
The MJO will propagate back to the E-Hem in June, which will constructively interfere with the developing base state, augmenting trades over the dateline/IPWP and likely forcing heavy -PNA/western trough response (a wetter/more zonal pattern compared to the current blocky/meridional one).
But the result of that is a large ridge downstream over the CONUS, which will probably expand to cover most of the lower-48 by in July. Once it gets cranking it could be difficult to contain.
Seems like this May could end up a bit wetter than the last couple out here in the Charleston CWA. Living up to its reputation for a top rainfall month on average. In 2022, July/Aug and February were my wet ones, and I remember Jan 2023 having more than 5" of rainfall. Many of last year's months ended below average on precip.
The warmest parts of the year are coming up. Looking like no more sub-50 degree lows happen until September. During the next period of warmth I even see an upper 60's low Tue night before more storms roll in.
61 right now and thick fog.
tomorrow are you going to post an MSN article about how Biden is causing prices to go up and that it is all his fault?
I'm sounding like a broken record with you, but....what point are you trying to make here? That China = bad?
Unfortunately, free market economics is more complicated than that.
Biden’s China Tariffs Are the End of an Era for Cheap Chinese Goods https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/18/business/bidens-china-tariffs.html?unlocked_article_code=1.s00.Vjxu.5MigwCJvi4N5
I am conflicted about this.
Long term, I'm not sure it's going to matter. We are delaying the inevitable where there are simply are not going to be enough jobs for everyone due to automation and AI, manufacturing or otherwise.
So do we risk a difficult and pricey transition into bringing manufacturing back to the US when intelligent robots are eventually going to take those jobs anyway?
I think without question the tariffs on ev cars is a given. But I don't know about the rest.
What's also interesting is that this is one of the very few intersections between trump and Biden economics.