Wouldn't be surprised to see Myrtle Reservoir (West Seattle) get a slushy inch+

I certainly believe the 0z EPS is on the right track where I thought the blocking would set up over NW NAMER and the NE PAC. Once we get into Thanksgiving week, it appears the northland will have temps sub 32F and with no snow OTG, it would be ideal for the ground to freeze over during a 5+ day period of cold weather before the next snows arrive. @MadtownI honestly think its "Go Time" to flood the rink next week.... Meantime, the SW ridge will fire up later this week and into the weekend as we warm up to around 80F out here in the Valley of the Sun! I'm gonna enjoy every bit of it.

I noticed models beginning to hint at a clipper pattern up this way. Cheap way to build up a snowpack, but it is a way nonetheless. That's how we did it in the 2021-22 nonstop ground blizzardfest.

Some weather history for southern Lower Michigan 1989: Grand Rapids picks up seven inches of snow, bringing accumulations during a three-day storm to over a foot. 2013: A squall line of severe thunderstorms moved through Lower Michigan during the afternoon bringing widespread wind damage. Hundreds of trees were knocked down and thousands lost power from downbursts and brief tornadoes along the line of storms. 2013, a powerful low-pressure system strengthened and tracked northeast across the western Great Lakes. As the cold front swept through the area, winds gusted to 50 to 60 mph during the overnight hours with a peak gust of 70 mph observed at Ypsilanti. The winds caused widespread damage and hundreds of thousands of power outages across Southeast Michigan. 1963, Genesee County (Flint area) experienced golf ball size hail with a severe thunderstorm passing through.

The official H/L yesterday at GR was 50/44 there was no rain/snow. There was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 47/32 the record high of 70 was set in 1953 and 1958. The coldest high of 17 was set in 1959. 1959 also had the record low of 9 the warmest low of 57 was set in 1963. The most rainfall of 1.59” fell in 1952 the most snowfall of 7.6” fell in 2022. The most snow on the ground was 7.6” in 2005. Last year the H/L was 62/33.