And addition there are some warm outliers. Anyways, there is high uncertainty.

Crazy stat to impress you weather friends-- Coldest Key West has ever been is 41F on Jan 13th 1981. When you think about Key West being almost literally surrounded by basically the ocean and water temps in Jan I'am guessing in the 60'sF? --- 41F is downright impressive. 41 even in Miami has the locals hunkered up pretty good as once the temps their get in upper 50's people start freaking out breaking out the "winter" gear. I went fishing on near the Space Coast in Oct 2018. Cold front came through when I was there and dropped the temp into the low 60's. People literally were breaking out sweatshirts-- my buddy said it was the first time his AC had not run since March-- no thanks.

That's a huge improvement then! @TT-SEA is too focused on the ensemble mean

I think it’s about 5 or 6 more. And OP should have some extra weight.

I have a magic crystal ball telling me the AI will not be as good.