It looks like the Union City, MI tornado will stay as high end EF-3. They did bring in a QRT to help with determining the rating. Just not enough convincing evidence to go with an EF-4 rating. .Union Lake/City, MI... Rating: EF3 Estimated Peak Wind: 160 mph Path Length /statute/: 5.23 miles Path Width /maximum/: 500 yards Fatalities: 3 Injuries: 12 Start Date: 03/06/2026 Start Time: 04:33 PM EST Start Location: 2 SSE Athens / Branch County / MI Start Lat/Lon: 42.0537 / -85.219 End Date: 03/06/2026 End Time: 04:42 PM EST End Location: 1 ENE Union City / Branch County / MI End Lat/Lon: 42.0725 / -85.1217 Survey Summary: The most intense and deadly tornado of the cyclic tornadic supercell touched down in northwest Branch county, northwest of Union Lake between Blossom Rd and Mendon Rd. This tornado was well photographed from multiple angles, and it quickly turned into a multi-vortex wedge. After destroying a pole barn and damaging a residence, the tornado deposited a 500 gallon propane tank in a field. Drone footage also showed ground scouring in the same field. The tornado continued northeast and caused the most widespread and intense damage along Prairie Rose Ln. Every residence along this stretch was either heavily damaged or completely destroyed. Tragically, three individuals lost their lives here when their manufactured homes were lofted and tossed. One of these trailers was well anchored and tossed approximately 100 yards, badly twisting the frame. Numerous vehicles were also tossed in this area. The maximum peak intensity of 160 mph was estimated to be at the corner of Tuttle Rd and Prairie Rose Ln. This 2 story block home was completely destroyed. Construction quality and older building codes of all homes in this area contributed to their failure and precluded the survey team from being able to rate higher than an EF-3. The tornado continued off to the northeast into Union City producing EF-1 to EF2 damage along the way before dissipating at the Branch/Calhoun county line. Special thanks to the various subject matter experts on the Quick Response Team that helped NWS Northern Indiana determine this tornado`s intensity.

Rounding up I’m probably at 1/4” on the season!

YES! The one person I was really hoping they would re-sign!

I can buy that there may be more important variables (summer precip, dry winds) than snowpack, but saying "there's little to no correlation with spring snowpack and the following wildfire season" is questionable because you're not controlling for confounding variables with your examples. An above-average snowpack could be impacted by a very warm summer and a below-average snowpack could be less impacted by a mild summer. Oregon is in a worse position for fire season with a minimal snowpack than if they had an above-average snowpack, are you disagreeing with that? If not, then it doesn't seem absurd to root for a good snowpack to improve our odds re: fire season.

Huge flakes now but far apart. 33.8 and melting rapidly. I have officially added 0.8” to my 2.0” seasonal total now.