IF the soil moisture was drier I could see the possibility, but the general trend this season and the fact that most of the Midwest has been quiet wet, it'll be hard to drive temps that high. Who knows though, if that GFS Op run pops that 597dm ridge then it'll be FUEGO.

HRRR looks pretty underwhelming tonight and is catching up to the globals. Went from this To this In the space of a few runs. Pretty disorganized and meager looking stuff with this.

Idk man, models aren’t backing down at all, and with the climate change footprint, it wouldn’t take much to get a prolonged heatwave, perhaps similar to what Europe has been dealing with lately. We’re also kind of due for an extreme heat event, considering it’s been surprisingly many years since we’ve had one in our region.

I'll believe that when I see it, at least for Chicago. The longest 90+ streak on record is 11 days, which has happened 4 times (curiously, all in the 1950s). Very difficult to get a double digit streak of 90s (and 100s thrown in for good measure)... usually something comes along and screws it up, whether it's a lake breeze coming too early, convection sneaking in or whatever.

Finally a decent AI run, closer to what GFS has been showing around the holiday.