Yeah, that's looking like more of a diurnal cold core shower setup on Saturday. Some convection potential. Good odds for some downpours but it'll be hit/miss.

I've seen a noticeable bias on the Euro to overdo precip. Might be a regional thing

Scored 0.01" with the first shower. Was virga for a little while, but got eaten up quick. Love the smell of the first wet pavement after weeks of dry.

Really depends on location. Euro struggles depicting shadows (GEM excels). My area for instance is almost always overdone when a shadow setup is present. The map you provided shows me getting 0.4" ish in the next 3 days, which is laughable. My guess is my peak total is half of that and I probably realistically get a quarter of that. Every system is different, but on average it likes to overshoot. I'm sure this isn't the first time this has been discussed.

Rain shower passing through. The main event looks to be offshore still.