@the_convergence_zone The radiative forcing per doubling of CO^2 concentration is roughly 3.6W/m^2 before feedbacks. How much of that is actually thermalized depends on a gargantuan slew of factors that would require hundreds of pages to adequately explain. And even then it would be lacking. Alas, long story short, future changes in precipitation worldwide will hinge on the spatiotemporal evolution of circulation/heat flows, clouds/albedo, etc. These variables (and numerous others) play outsized roles in regulating the planetary energy budget over space and time.

This is pretty balls to the wall for cold upwelling under the ENSO regions. It's going to be up to the atmosphere on how strong this Nina gets.

The Clausius Clapeyron equation (dP/dT = L/TΔV) quantifies the relationship between pressure and temperature of a parcel substance during a phase change (IE: evaporation, condensation, freezing, sublimation, etc). It can be useful in solving for theta-e, moist adiabatic LR, etc, depending on what constants and/or inputs you have. But it’s irrelevant to what we’re talking about because it contains no spatiotemporal variables. You’re trying to sound smart by invoking thermodynamic equations that you clearly do not understand.

Sure way to get your arse handed to you by Mother Nature.

I had forgotten about June 2008. A few days later we had the Yuge storm in early July. I have the T bolded on my records for the late June event also. Means it was a good one.