Lol you were driving by and I was probably right in one of these jobsites cleaning out a generator. Boss man has me out here doing the not so fun maintenance projects on this fine holiday.
The Pacific CCKW/MJO signal is still there on the EPS weeklies. Maybe a bit faster/shallower, but it hasn’t been pushed back (yet).
I’ll probably eat crow for this but I think we could see this pattern take a break sometime during the 2nd/3rd week of July. Could be a very short lived break, but a break nonetheless.
Very likely it will come roaring back when forcing returns to the IO-E-Hem again later in July, probably even worse than before. But at this point I’ll happily accept that deal.
Or maybe I’m wishcasting. I certainly got ahead of myself w/rt early June +PNA, and it was a very similar situation in terms of tropical forcing/MJO. I suppose we’ll find out.