It would be shocking if Trump breaks 20% among black voters. I don't expect that to realistically happen. But if he picks up a few percent or so from last time, then it could cancel out whatever he loses from people not wanting to vote for a criminal, etc
At least until Fri it’s normal low 90s stuff. But the weekend looks nastier as the ridge axis slides south.
Early next week is our chance for a reprieve before the ridge comes back late month. But it could stay warmer than normal even during the break period, will need heavy convection to really cool things down in this regime.
Ashfall would be highly dependent on existing winds, but radial dispersion of ash from such a large eruption would also have to be massive, as ash spreads circularly outwards in the stratosphere with the weak winds.
If we had zonal flow, all the ash would be blown east handily. A cutoff over CA? It gets funneled right into our area.