Happy New Year to all! A wind advisory remains in effect till 10pm tonight. Temperatures today will be near normal (low to mid 40's) before falling later in the day. We finished 2024 as the 3rd warmest year in my 21 years of observations here in East Nantmeal. I will update with the annual climate summary for the rest of Chester County later. Temperatures both Thursday and Friday will be in the low to mid 30's. We could see a period of light snow on Friday PM. Temps remain below freezing this weekend with snow chances increasing by Sunday night into Monday.
Happy New Year! It was a fairly steady 35* night in my corner. If there were any chonky splats, it happened while I was asleep. We've a brisket in the Traeger for New Year's Day dinner and it smells so good! I hope everyone has a great day.
Speaking of the NBM, it is much less prone to wild swings due to being a blend of various models. Makes it a little hard to discern overall trends, but a trend gif of the past three runs shows this morning's 12z had a small northward adjustment along with strengthening of totals.
NWS FSD refuses to touch this system with a ten foot pole. It has barely even gotten a mention in their AFDs over the past couple days. They just skip right over the system and talk about next week's potential cold air outbreak. The extent to which they have discussed this storm has been "potential light snow on the horizon Sat/Sun but left NBM as default POPs due to uncertainty". That's it.
Their discussions can sometimes be more detail-oriented and fun when the event gets closer but 90% of the time they are kind of a boring read with how conservative they are in forecasting. Oh well. Hopefully we can get some better trends today and tomorrow and force them to acknowledge the potential a bit more.