Going by what would be considered a true winter storm status event, we’ve been quite lucky really. Save for two years on the east side (00-01, 01-02) when nothing memorable happened here, it’s been 32 years. Here’s the high-impact snow events during that period: 2/95 1/96 1/98 1/04 12/08 (GOAT) 2/14 1/17 2/21 2/23 1/24* Fairly even distribution, really. Along with a couple of pretty sadistically sexy six year droughts.

2 above and dropping fast.

The Euro has a chance to do the funniest thing ever rn

Just realized that there's a decent possibility of dropping below zero here later this week. Honestly didn't even notice because the airmass aloft is not that cold at all. So this cold would be heavily driven by the snowpack. fwiw, ORD is currently forecasted to get down to 0. If they actually go below 0, it would be the earliest below zero reading for Chicago since late November 1950... right before that megastorm hit.

Euro and GFS might be compromising toward one another in the mid range