That’s an unsuitable dynamical definition of the cold pool IMO, I’d use at least -30°C for that.

Scored another 1.5” of snow yesterday followed by 0.15” of ZR overnight. Nice little consolation prize ahead of the flip to warmth (and probably permanent spring) coming up. That said, it was yet another significantly colder than average winter with below average snowfall here. These -ENSO winters are always a challenge in the Mid-Atlantic due to the lack of a STJ, doesn’t matter how cold it gets. I have a feeling 2026/27 will finally deliver in the snowfall department assuming the Niño comes to fruition. Good chance we finally score that long overdue Miller-A blizzard.

He didn't this year

So you don’t think it’s not coming?