Saw rotation and couldn't tell if it was just a cold air funnel but 5-10 mins later Elkhorn had a tornado

I got another deluge of rain this evening. I picked up 2 inches in an hour and a half. There were several tornadoes in the area including 1 that did some low end damage in Butler, Missouri.

Would that imply undercutting w/ less anomalous heights to the south and west? 2013-16 were notoriously ridgy but also quite progressive and stormy at times

AIFS ens is not as ridgy as expected doesn’t look wet either.

Seems pretty clear that the damaging wind/QLCS tornado threat will be on a downtrend sometime later tonight... just not sure if it will be before or after it moves through here. The LLJ will be intensifying to around 50-60 kts later and we should remain relatively well-mixed in the low-levels through the evening with a somewhat modest amount of nocturnal cooling, so I'm going to hold with my previous stance of being cautiously optimistic about the severe threat around here.