Thermal runaway is a myth. That is all a forced pattern response. Tropical forcing isn’t reminiscent of 2015 (yet) nor will the pattern be for the foreseeable future. But as we discussed a couple weeks ago, it is likely the pattern will trend warmer later in June into July in response to *sub*seasonal variability in tropical convection (combination of BSISO progression and onset of E-Hem monsoonal forcing). But don’t make the same mistake everyone else does in reading too much into model guidance attempting to resolve sub-seasonal variability in the extended range.

*Picks the coldest slightly below average week* that will get dwarfed by the upcoming heat waves

SPC gets it up your way. I wouldn't be surprised to see a shift north into northern Illinois and Indiana just based off where the hot spots have been this year.

Sorry, just not accurate.

Got the outdoor pool stuff set up for the kiddos. Sunblock. Summer is definitely here.