Something seems off with those maps, and it's the large discrepancy between Cook county and the rural/well inland areas of northern IL. You'd expect it to be warmer in the urban area, but a 6-8 degree difference during the afternoon seems a little egregious. So I think it will be warmer inland than shown, cooler around Chicago than shown, or some combination of that.
You come in with your daily lesson like you’re providing everyone with new information. And then in a couple hours you’ll hit us with a 16 day GFS temperature output showing your backyard hitting 110F.
ECMWF AIFS is crazy volatile. Can't trust it. It assured me Fathers Day was going to be a washout for many runs. Yet the reality was sunny and 80 on the lake.
ECMWF AIFS ensemble seems to be gold standard now. And it has the same basic pattern as the ECMWF.