Can't wait for this super Nino to be followed by a multi-year Nina.

PDO has nothing to do with the ongoing trashy pattern. It’s an element of subseasonal variability tied to circulation/andes terrain torque in the SH and echoes of prior MJO/BSISO activation at inception of E-Hem monsoonal forcing a month ago on the in-situ AAM budget conspiring to produce pseudo Niña type circulation in the extratropics. Horrible timing of all subseasonal elements here. However, as seasonally-linked teleconnective modes mature heading into late summer/autumn and low frequency ENSO coupling becomes more efficient near/after the fall equinox, the pattern will begin resembling that of a canonical Niño more consistently.

Not working so far. ENSO is more disconnected from PDO than people realize, especially east-base events.

Nasty day but I'm off on a quick trip to Beaver Lake Arkansas where it's also hot. Here's the conditions back home. Whiteman Air Force Base (KSZL) Lat: 38.73°NLon: 93.55°WElev: 869ft. Partly Cloudy 93°F 34°C Humidity 63% Wind Speed S 18 G 25 mph Barometer 29.85 in (1010.0 mb) Dewpoint 78°F (26°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 110°F (43°C) Last update 29 Jun 4:55 pm CDT

KEEP IT GOING Eviscerate any and all -ENSO residue from the system state and exorcise it back to the depths of hell.