Phil Posted August 20, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 20, 2016 Low/mid 90s temps through at least early/mid September this year. Book it, never fails. Will be back in DC starting 8/28, so expect the next heatwave to begin (or already be underway) by then! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 21, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 21, 2016 Looking forward to some rain storms tomorrow in the Philadelphia area. It is also nice to see that temps are off the plateau and will start to be noticibly cooler week by week.Looking at the pattern in the long range, I doubt the cooldown is more than 3-4 days before low/mid 90s return. That SW flow aloft under high heights on the periphery of the SE ridge is a very warm regime overall. We're not going to experience any prolonged/meaningful cooling until late September or October. Climo in a developing Niña favors high temperatures into the 90s lasting through mid September at least. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted August 21, 2016 Report Share Posted August 21, 2016 Think of it as a forecaster asset. Go somewhere, you can guarantee your forecast for that area.However, don't drag out the hair shirt just yet oh weather Swami ! Ye Old Farmers has something to add.Throw your computer models away Phil, this little chart has ya covered !! image.jpeg It better be wet here this winter in California! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 24, 2016 Report Share Posted August 24, 2016 While I don't wish harm on anyone, I would appreciate a hurricane breaking the back of this d**n heat ! It was blistering hot this afternoon. 40% chance of rain Friday...won't hold my breath. Meanwhile, enjoy this moon over the new World Trade Center this month. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2016 I have a funny little feeling about the wave about to move off Africa. Weird, can't explain why. We'll see how it plays out, but there's a (slight) chance this could be the storm to snap our hurricane drought. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 29, 2016 Report Share Posted August 29, 2016 I saw a weather forecaster discussing a Low in the southern areas between Cuba and South America that will swing up and affect the Panhandle of Florida. The Gulf is very warm, so I'm wondering when we'll see a TS or hurricane deeper in the Gulf? Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWX Posted August 29, 2016 Report Share Posted August 29, 2016 Guaranteed at H324I'll gladly take this and run. Quote RobElev : 211'2015-2016 : 31" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWX Posted August 29, 2016 Report Share Posted August 29, 2016 Dry month here.. similar to last year. Top 5 driest August... drought conditions are returning back, but then again, it's the East, droughts don't persists for very long here. Quote RobElev : 211'2015-2016 : 31" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 29, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 29, 2016 Back home today..93/72, H/I 100 as of 3pm, and a similar 91/70, H/I 96 @ DCA. In other words, nothing's changed since I left town. Expecting the 90+ temperatures to continue into mid/late September once again. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted August 29, 2016 Report Share Posted August 29, 2016 We're in a week of temps from 88 to 93 and scattered showers. Today we had a strong shower with lots of lightning and thunder. One bolt struck a bit to close for comfort but its great to see August thunderstorms! Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWX Posted August 30, 2016 Report Share Posted August 30, 2016 Hottest August ever in many locales up here. Closing in on 40 90+ days. Quote RobElev : 211'2015-2016 : 31" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted August 31, 2016 Report Share Posted August 31, 2016 Back home today..93/72, H/I 100 as of 3pm, and a similar 91/70, H/I 96 @ DCA. In other words, nothing's changed since I left town. Expecting the 90+ temperatures to continue into mid/late September once again.a sort rest for a few days but data is strongly hinting at the rige rebuilding next week so after 3 4 day break the hot weather comes right back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 31, 2016 a sort rest for a few days but data is strongly hinting at the rige rebuilding next week so after 3 4 day break the hot weather comes right back.Yeah, I think DCA will finish with 60+ days above 90 degrees when the warm season is all said and done. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 31, 2016 Looks like Hermine might wind up delivering some much needed rainfall and breezy conditions up and down the I95 corridor. Doesn't look like it'll be exceptionally impressive by tropical standards though..maybe 40mph winds w/ 2-3" of rain. Another toasty late summer day here 93/70, H/I 99. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWX Posted August 31, 2016 Report Share Posted August 31, 2016 12z EURO was a disaster for pretty much the whole subforum. Quote RobElev : 211'2015-2016 : 31" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 31, 2016 Author Report Share Posted August 31, 2016 12z EURO was a disaster for pretty much the whole subforum.Well, it does the hook back to the coast, then moves offshore where it really intensifies and tries to come back again but is shunted out. If it were to do a second loop, it'd be a problem.. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 1, 2016 Soil is parched here. Was blowing leaves with the big RedMax this afternoon and created a dust storm that engulfed the entire neighborhood. Hermine might help in this regard...looks like 6-10" of rain on most guidance. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 1, 2016 Beautiful lightning show with this severe warned storm to the north of me. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/C3144F78-35D3-4F67-8097-23C525362237_zpsjkjbhtxo.png Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 1, 2016 Report Share Posted September 1, 2016 Some nice thunderstorms training in Baltimore Imagain it pretty loud there at the moment Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 1, 2016 00z GFS whiffs with Hermine. From 6"-10" of rain to desert in one run. Hope this is a fluke. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 2, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 2, 2016 Yeah looks like we're gonna dustbowl it up for September. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 2, 2016 Report Share Posted September 2, 2016 Watch us all get hammered in October by a east coast hurricane lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 2, 2016 Report Share Posted September 2, 2016 Yeah looks like we're gonna dustbowl it up for September.with or without out this weekend tropical system we all knew September was going to suck with heat and dry eather way everything from pattern and analogs has stated a hot september this year.I'm going to just enjoy the relative coolness of the temperature this weekend while I can as it may be a long wrait until the next cool down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 2, 2016 Report Share Posted September 2, 2016 If the ecmwf is right snj del is going to get destroyed with coaster flooding wind what a night mare solution for them if that pans out this way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 That was an big time tornado signature on the radar in eastern north Carolina from one of the bands of hermine hope people took cover there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 3, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 Autumn fever is setting in. It's such a shame we have to go back to mid-90s weather next week. A refreshing NEerly on the periphery of Hermine today. DCA currently 78/60, sustained NE @ 24mph, G37mph. Sheltered from the NE here (river ridgeline & mature woodland), so less wind IMBY. Currently 76/58, sustained 8mph, G20mph, but can hear it blowing through the treetops. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Very poor performance by the models with hermine really have to give Larry Cosgrove credit and due he took a lot of heat by not being sold on the hype and cautioned that the ecmwf was off from the systems entire life span.certainly not one of the ecmwf finest moments with hermine wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted September 5, 2016 Report Share Posted September 5, 2016 Any winter ideas yet? Everyone check your bunions, or whatever mode of mystical forecasting you use....... Mine say cold, wet, and miserable everywhere except the PNW and deep SW.I can't say Texas and Oklahoma will get a lot of snow/ice, but I expect a good deal of cold rain. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 6, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 6, 2016 Okay outside w/ low humidity..currently 93/61. Have barely even broken a sweat despite wearing long pants/sleeves and walking to classes in the sunshine. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 7, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 7, 2016 94/72, HI 101 @ DCA. Currently 92/70, H/I 100 IMBY. Gross. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 7, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 7, 2016 Our house was just struck by lightning..scared the crap outta me! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 7, 2016 Report Share Posted September 7, 2016 The thunderstorms are training north to South they stayed to our west here but sounds like you got hammered there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 7, 2016 Report Share Posted September 7, 2016 Our house was just struck by lightning..scared the crap outta me! slimutarliy lighting/thunder sounds like the house about to explode when you get that type of lighting and thunder had that a few times in Augest with very close lighting strikes near the house Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 8, 2016 Sounded like an extremely loud pop that came from under the floor. Can't find where it struck, but we're assuming it was the house. The rest of the storm was lame, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 8, 2016 More lightning and deep, booming thunder out there tonight. Hoping for another round here. Currently 77/74 and hazy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted September 8, 2016 Report Share Posted September 8, 2016 Our house was just struck by lightning..scared the crap outta me!That had to ring your bell ! Two years ago we had lighting run along the power lines down our street. It sounded like fabric ripping. Creepy. Then blew the hell out of the transformer next door. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 8, 2016 My morning humidity reader says: gross http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/5C0C6FE8-F987-4722-8F06-9E2CE095FAD3_zpsfdanmjwe.jpg Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 8, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 8, 2016 84/75, H/I 92 as of 9AM this morning. That's more typical of July/August than mid-September. Highs should reach 95-100 degrees today east of the Blue Ridge. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 9, 2016 Author Report Share Posted September 9, 2016 DCA hit 98/70..nasty. Currently 81/77 as of 109AM here. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 9, 2016 Report Share Posted September 9, 2016 This July August weather in September can end at any moment what is the cause of this sift july-September summer October-december fall January-April winter or is this just part of the many cycles of climate Earth has always been going through.I know Robert Filex is a big it's a cycle beleaver which I agree with him, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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