JMA weeklies for Week 2 showing the real deal arctic air straddling southern Canada and Upper MW region. If the MJO and teleconnections could play ball....all systems will be on fire to produce a hellova amount of Snow for some people on here. The STJ is going to be en fuego as we get into early MAR.
0z Euro Control...
The 0z EPS continues to develop a lot of High Pressure in the NE PAC and into the NW NAMER/AK region as well as the High Lat's as we get closer to President's Day...I think it's a matter of timing before this unloads into the Plains/Upper MW come the 20th. You guys should be experiencing #RealWinter by this time and prob tracking multiple systems to close out the month of FEB. The early JAN powerful storm is due right around President's Day and I think this has Big Dog written all over it. This storm should then press the cold south into the rest of the Forum. WInter's last hoorah??? I think so...might as well get it done now then in MAR.
I expect to see 2 strong storms to close out FEB, one during President's Day week and the other to close out FEB and open MAR. We might actually track a storm to Open March...Like a Lion this year? Let's see how this unfolds.
We've switched to snow in Cedar Rapids. Unfortunately, radar shows CR is just inside the precip shield. Go barely nw of us and the precip hits a wall of dry air. So, it's all about how long the good precip can hold over us. There may be a band of 3+" of snow just southeast of CR.
I received about 0.40" of rain before the switch.
Congrats on the Snow! Gosh, this storm took the perfect track for you guys and if ONLY we had cold air to tap many of you would be digging out of a massive winter storm. Just a. beauty on radar...perfect timing to deepen/strengthen and go neg tilt...