Beautiful morning on the weather deck. The landscape seems to already recovering from the harmful drenching just a matter of hours ago. The resilience of nature is truly astounding.
Little known fact... mid June through early September of 2010 was actually drier than normal. It only rained a few days here in that period but most of them just happened to be right around the 4th of July. Just need to shift that timing a little bit!
Projections like that are often way off the mark, though.
Tim mentioned “recency bias” earlier. Albeit in a different context, that concept also applies to these longer term climate projections.
It is very common (actually the norm) for certain anomalous weather/climate patterns to repeat for years if not decades, then abruptly reverse phase. Sometimes for reasons we understand, sometimes for reasons unknown. But that is nothing new.
It has been commonplace for such persistent and/or anomalous weather patterns to be erroneously attributed to climate change/etc, only for said patterns to inevitably change again. I could reference a dozen examples in this century alone.