Or they just don't end up adjusting enough, and his support was more underestimated this time compared to previous elections.
I really have no idea what to expect as far as polling. Another interesting thing to consider is that this is the first time that Trump's name is on the ballot since Roe was overturned. That is a huge issue for a certain swath of voters.
Looks like Portland had another murder overnight. Up to 58 on the year running ahead of last year at this time. Before 2020 the average was about 20-25 a year.