Chris Cuomo hosted a power house town hall last night... so many high profile guests. Really entertaining. I set this clip to begin right when Stephen A Smith talks about Kamala not being able to call out Biden's decline. He is spot on here. Kamala would be ruthlessly attacked if she did it... and she is still being attacked for not doing it.

Halperin thinks Trump has an outside shot at winning the popular vote given how much of an absolute landslide Florida is looking like it will be. If he over performs in CA and NY and then gets high turnout everywhere else then it's a good chance.

My analog blend called for a mean trough for the month of November in the northwest with ridging in the east and on net in the midwest/plains as well. After the cooler weather this week, that does look to be the way we are headed. It had a reversal for December as a ridge builds into AK off the west coast dumping the cold into the upper plains. At least for now, the very extended EPS seems to be suggesting that, but there is typically little accuracy at this range. At least the EPS long range snow increases here heading into Dec as well.

Overall the pattern will be characterized by moist southwesterly flow with good shear and diffluence aloft. It'll persist for several days. EPS mean is 4" here, with totals mostly in the 3-5" range. I'd assume this is an overestimation in a general sense, but definitely possible if we get a few rounds of storms to track over the area. Many rounds of storms will pass through the southern and central plains, with each model looking a bit different, so confidence is low in the details and we need to get a bit closer to see what we are really working with.

Here are the SPC outlooks for day 4-5 showing the severe risk as the upper level shear gets cranking. Then WPC outlooks showing marginal to slight risk of excessive rain for multiple days in the area.