And addition there are some warm outliers. In any case there is high uncertainty.

Crazy stat to impress you weather friends-- Coldest Key West has ever been is 41F on Jan 13th 1981. When you think about Key West being almost literally surrounded by basically the ocean and water temps in Jan I'am guessing in the 60'sF? --- 41F is downright impressive.

That's a huge improvement then! @TT-SEA is too focused on the ensemble mean

I think it’s about 5 or 6 more. And OP should have some extra weight.

I have a magic crystal ball telling me the AI will not be as good.