HRRR about to ride right up the coastline.

In all likelihood, the Canadian Ensemble appears to be sniffing out the long range pattern a lot better than the other model suites. I noticed the changes 2 days ago once I saw an analog map that fits this years Winter pattern. Things are suddenly turning a bit more interesting for parts of the Eastern Sub and some wild runs of Arctic Air and North American amplification are starting evolve. Is this the sudden flip back to Winter we have been looking for?? Not gonna lie, but this is what excites me when you have the players on the field do whats supposed to happen. I think what is happening is the retrograding trough off the coast of So Cal/Baja is allowing more Ridging off the West Coast (-EPO) and stronger -NAO signal to amplify the N.A. 500mb pattern. In my opinion, I think what can happen here is a brief period of NW Flow to close out DEC and open up the New Year that will prob hit the Lakes and maybe MW with some snow until we can tap into the PAC jet and "marry" up the Real Deal Arctic Air to produce some more widespread snow storms. GEFS/GEPS and I think the EPS are all turning a bit more snowier during the opening week of JAN...

The SREF ensemble-- by a significant margin the furthest west it has been.

06Z Euro ensembles-- much more spread than the 00Z and generally shifted west. Note how south some of those members consolidate the low pressure area.

Snyder mentioned on his live stream last night that the Euro could be undergoing the strength of the low which is why its moving it inland. If its deeper than it should curve west and move up the coast. We'll thats how i understood it anyway