NAM has been wanting to push the boundary farther south. But it's the NAM. Who knows at this point. Even if the boundary manages to push all the way south through my area, still probably shouldn't sleep on a severe threat locally. I'm reminded of the event last March when multiple tornadoes went through Gary despite them being a bit north of the front (temp was only in the 40s there)

Warm and hot are the same to me. Idk. Probably a strong ridge though.

Felt really nice today w beautiful mild breezes even though no sunshine was seen. Temps in the 60s feels awesome. If we do get back to some winter weather later next week, it will definitely feel like a shock to the system.

NOAA: An amplified pattern evolves upstream mid-week as a cut-off upper low over the Four Corners region dislodges, quickly phasing with the northern stream jet. Rapid deepening of an embedded shortwave feature leads to aggressive height falls across the Midwest and a sharp uptick in confluent southwest flow. This leads to an influx of low-level ThetaE convergence and elevated nocturnal stability, late Tuesday into Wednesday. Potential exists for thunderstorms during this time, but lapse rates are unimpressive and timing of low-level saturation is in question. Wrap-around moisture and a much colder airmass fills in as the surface low exits into southern Ontario Wednesday evening, which favors some post-frontal snowfall into Thursday. If current 2m temperature trends hold, accumulations will be possible once ground temperatures drop.

Split flow in May or June means dry and warm not dry and hot correct?