I’m more optimistic you guys can score without a SSW once deeper into winter. Though it’s been awhile since we’ve seen a solar bombardment like this year, so who knows if/how these canonical ENSO/QBO relationships have evolved since the most recent analogs 20-30+ years ago.

My wife mentioned seeing a clickbait story on her social media feed about this and asked me if it was real, and I said probably not, but I hadn't checked.

Most of that looks like hail, not snow, and KSA does have highland areas where snow not super-unusual.

The PV really isn't that big a deal so far. Normal to slightly weak is what is forecast until further notice.

Another sign we are in a regime featuring an uber perturbed atmosphere. Snow for the first time ever recorded in Saudi Desert in the past couple of days. Really weird it happened so early in the season to boot. I checked many sources to make sure this is legit and it is. Saudi Arabia Desert Sees Rare Snowfall For First Time in History - The Morning News