Would be pretty surprising if Trump wins there. But keep an eye on that state for the following reason. Polls close relatively early there. If it takes quite a while for the state to be called, it could be a sign that it will be a good night for Trump. I remember that was one of the surprising things in 2016... it took a good amount of time for Virginia to be called, and that was with Virginia Senator Tim Kaine as Hillary's running mate.
Good points but I feel some Trump voters just don’t want to admit they are voting for Trump. Or like in 2016 a bunch of them decided at the last minute. I think it’s hard to fix that bias.