Major changes from NOAA: The forecast next week will hinge on the strong 500 MB low over Baja California/northern Mexico and the interaction with the copious amount of upper level energy coming out of the Gulf of Alaska and then digging southeast through the Pacific Northwest Sunday Evening. Good clustering of the Euro ensembles with the surface low tracking north-northeast through Iowa/Minnesota on Tuesday, but then likely translating southeast. Significant differences for the mid/late week in how strong the system ends up being and the amount of cold air infusion, as the Canadian and Euro have trended colder, with 850 MB temps of -6 to -8 C cold enough for snow underneath the cold cold/mid level circulation, but that looks to be just south, over the Ohio Valley at the present time.

Love the promising trends! Signs of the times.

Quiet at work today. Friday, AND Nov. 15th in Mid-Michigan...hmmm I wonder why

It's crazy to see how badly the models are digesting the high lat blocking. The immense shifts in the EPS and GEFS are an understatement..however, the AIFS might have had the right idea all along with the 2nd storm tracking into the GL's.