BTW this is well inside 10 days now.

This could end being known as the Jekyll and Hyde winter. Both halves total opposites.

Between the two AI models I like AIFS. It looks safer. The graphcast gets us really cold very likely snow but it gets dangerous at the end. The AIFS looks more like something that would bring some snow and keep it cold longer.

I knew this was really a Nina. It was just hard to prove. The atmosphere over the tropical Pacific has been there for a long time as per the MEI.

How low do the 850s get after that slides down?