IF the ridge would just stay put and not float off into the arctic we would see a major blast.

EURO delivers tonight! Enough Arctic air makes its way south to give most people snow. Great run!

Cliff Mass will have a field day

Also could get quite unlucky and just end up getting a dry backdoor blast. Or of course we get cold, and as usual Seattle misses out while everyone else gets a snowstorm or convergence zone.

It's a finnicky setup, and certainly very unfavorable for arctic air- but there is still that brief window before we go right into undercutting hell. If we get lucky, we can score something quick before the pattern derails. If we get unlucky, more of a reason to hate this winter.