12Z EPS focuses the troughing farther east in the long range. 12Z ECMWF AIFS ensemble shows the same focus to the east but is a little more troughy out here in the long range... could end up being a pretty benign and pleasant pattern.
Then why do so many people go to California, Arizona and Florida for the winter?
All day rain, miserable cold winds, or being buried in snow so that you cannot drive anywhere is like being locked down due to a trough-vid pandemic. It causes depression and vitamin D deficiency. It also makes skin whiter.