Thunder98 Posted December 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Still seeing shower activity. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 We might actually have a winter this year. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 One week since the Winter Solstice today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AquariusRadar Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 16 ft. of snow at Tahoe. Beginning to doubt the ENSO/La Nina concept of "less precipitation during La Nina" in California. Summary of storm totals so far in this original LA Times article Sierra Snow https://www.yahoo.com/news/photos-record-snowfall-blankets-sierra-225848713.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 It was La Nina-like in November Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, AquariusRadar said: 16 ft. of snow at Tahoe. Beginning to doubt the ENSO/La Nina concept of "less precipitation during La Nina" in California. Summary of storm totals so far in this original LA Times article Sierra Snow https://www.yahoo.com/news/photos-record-snowfall-blankets-sierra-225848713.html Hopefully it eases our drought and water use restrictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pn1ct0g3n Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 ENSO status has always been a general tendency, not an absolute law, for how much rain we get. 2017-2018 was another La Niña winter that produced plenty of soakers, while even the “Godzilla El Niño” of 2015-2016 didn’t bring much rain as we were still parked under the Triple R. (Ridiculously Resilient Ridge) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Got a very light shower this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Not the best weather conditions for wicked witches with green skin this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Cold and gloomy today, just past noon and it's only 48F. I only received 0.14" yesterday, which I verified with my manual gauge is indeed the correct total. One of the lowest totals in all of my part of Riverside County. 0.01" since midnight today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, Reg said: Cold and gloomy today, just past noon and it's only 48F. I only received 0.14" yesterday, which I verified with my manual gauge is indeed the correct total. One of the lowest totals in all of my part of Riverside County. 0.01" since midnight today. Just the way you like it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted December 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 50 minutes ago, Pn1ct0g3n said: ENSO status has always been a general tendency, not an absolute law, for how much rain we get. 2017-2018 was another La Niña winter that produced plenty of soakers, while even the “Godzilla El Niño” of 2015-2016 didn’t bring much rain as we were still parked under the Triple R. (Ridiculously Resilient Ridge) I think you were meant 2018-2019, 2017-2018 was very dry except for March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Been quite busy writing stories on WeatherCurrents these past couple of weeks, including today. Most action we've seen in a while. EDIT: Another shower just started after a few dry hours. Looking forward to the next couple of days, if it pans out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 When there's people walking around in shorts and T-shirts today, I can kind of understand why some people hate warm and sunny weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 They screwed up mightily on their partly cloudy forecast for today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Climate change may be changing how El Nino and La Nina affect the weather. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Wow, that's a lot of clouds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 28, 2021 Report Share Posted December 28, 2021 Even with a few pockets of sunshine this afternoon, temperature never rose higher than 49F. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Now that the warmer storms have been replaced by colder ones over the past 36 hours, finally seeing snow up in the local mountains. Palomar Mountain this evening after being bare up there for a while: 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 If it's gotta be so cold, why can't it just snow? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Not many clouds to start off the day. That is anomalous for this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Unfortunately snow levels are rising with the next storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Much to Reg's dismay The sky is not currently gray But how long will that stay? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 How do we get 2-3 inches out of this? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Haven't seen the Tule fog in a while. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Rain is getting going. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 Getting heavier. I assume our other members are being rainshadowed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2021 Report Share Posted December 29, 2021 That heavier rain lasted only a few minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Pn1ct0g3n has nothing to say Thunder98 has nothing to say Reg has nothing to say 40 million Californians have nothing to say 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted December 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 I only received 0.04” of rain today. I got rain shadowed really badly. Some points today that it even mostly sunny a couple times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Rain finally started back up here this afternoon but it hasn't been noteworthy, even by Southern California standards. Early in the morning we received 0.05", which had given way to clear skies by mid-morning, until clouds and light rain returned this afternoon, producing another 0.05" so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Despite the slow start to our current storm, the National Weather Service remains quite confident in their projected high rainfall totals for the region over the next 48 hours that they increased their projections, rather than lowering them. 3-4" predicted for my area now through Friday. We'll see. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pn1ct0g3n Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 We have lives, you know. Pretty steady rain where I’m at. Mostly light with some 5 minute bursts of heavier. A fairly standard cold storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, Reg said: Despite the slow start to our current storm, the National Weather Service remains quite confident in their projected high rainfall totals for the region over the next 48 hours that they increased their projections, rather than lowering them. 3-4" predicted for my area now through Friday. We'll see. Like Pete Carroll is confident that the Seahawks are still a good team. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Normally we don't get evacuation warnings for June Gloom style drizzle/light rain events, but it's the 2020s. Nothing is the same. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Had this in the morning forecast discussion for Los Angeles/Oxnard Quote A concern, however, is if the track of the upper low dips too far southwest and off the coast. Run to run changes in both the EC and GFS show it digging farther southwest with the GFS furthest. That would explain the lighter storm totals in the GFS and GEFS. System could turn out to be a real dud if it does in fact dig too far SW. But for now will stick with the ensemble solutions and their precip totals. Storm total amounts have trended higher in most ensembles and that idea is also followed in the latest WPC guidance. That would give the LA basin possibly between 2 and 3 inches and up to 8 inches liquid as you go up into the San Gabriels, and quite a bit of snow above 5000 ft. Moisture supply is still an issue although ensembles have trended upward some on the PWATs and now show around an inch over the LA basin. Will need to strongly consider a flash flood watch for the recent burn areas of LA County for tonight and tomorrow morning. Hourly rates in the guidance appear to be right on the edge for producing mud and debris flows, however more intense precip embedded in the steadier precip could produce some mud and debris issues for the recent burn areas there. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted December 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Ha! Ha! If I could not get any rain today, then everybody in SoCal should get busted. Fair game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 A measly 0.17" so far, but it's briefly getting heavier. Can the heavy rain last until that stupid Kim Crawford commercial comes on again? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 0.18" here, no rain anywhere near here since about two hours ago. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 30, 2021 Report Share Posted December 30, 2021 Only 0.25" although it's been coming down for a while. A cutoff low is a weatherman's woe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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