PNA!

Ah yes because reddit is where we go for accurate unbiased information

If one were to only get their news from the likes of Drudge, you'd be lead to believe that Kamala has this election in the bag. There might be a lot of surprised Democrats (especially in the general public) come November 5th.

I recorded a 59mph gust on my balcony on Monday with a handheld anemometer. Airport gusts all the 36-39mph range. Venturi effect + 29th floor is no joke. Can’t imagine what it will be like up here on a high wind day with 60+mph gusts at the surface.

I’d be canceling winter in any other setup except Niña/+QBO. It’s the only low-frequency mode that has historically produced cold/snowy western winters regardless of solar/etc. So I’m not worried for you guys (at the moment) since there are more conduits to cold patterns than there are failure modes. However, the one potential failure mode that is probabilistically significant is a strong, barotropic-mode PV that dynamically couples to a significant +NAM/+AO regime in troposphere. If the tropospheric pattern evolves in a manner that inhibits wave driving/promotes +AO, that outcome would be more likely. However there isn’t evidence of this, at least for now (I’ll give this outcome an ~ 40% probability).