Looks like Jake did a little much partying and not enough cardio. He wasn't in that great of shape, looked soft. Legs were GONE.

00z AIFS further east but still a decent dump. This is definitely the next period to watch. Where or where does the cutoff low go?

Wonder how the euro will disappoint

Sharp snap toward something much colder for the Christmas trough on the last couple runs of the AIGFS. Given that this model is meaningfully more accurate than the traditional GFS, and this period is right around the usual day 6-7 moment of clarity, I'd say that sudden improvement could have some significance here. The AIGEFS are intriguing too.

I posted this a few weeks ago saying this was us for the last month now this is us for the last month and a half