Do you have any idea how that model has performed?

Someone posted this on a local FB community group, taken in Island Park April 2023.

RRFS likely an outlier but goes wild with wave 2.

The ICON has done well for Kansas and Missouri several runs in a row. I would gladly take what it's offering. That being said just a little further nw with the Saturday night snow would be even better.

In balmy by the lakeshore GR? You sure? Feb '15 I remember one evening in Marshall it was already 13 below and I went out for a walk and it wasn't that bad - must've been calm. Unlike today in Grayling with the winds gusting and endless pixies cutting into my face. I also recall the first cold blast of the Jan/Feb '94 historic cold wave. MIL down in Allegan cnty called and said how it was super cold there that evening, so I checked our window thermometer (8 pm guessing it was) and it was pegged at -25F at our place 8 miles SE of downtown Traverse City.