FWIW the 18z euro is a bit wetter and more in the 0.5-0.75” range for Puget sound but it really does seem to have a “wet bias” sometimes.

Anything can happen, but I can't really recall many torch Springs across the CONUS following a strong Nino. I think some were regionally warm though. But relatively small sample size of years if limiting it to post-strong Nino.

Really no ensemble support for the rainy GFS operational, but at least most of the heatwave consensus is being pushed further out with each run.

Almost a 90 burger here with a high of 88. Currently 86.

Models seem to agree on generally 0.25” or so for most people in Puget sound outside of the c-zone…not really too crazy. Who knows about the stuff next week…but my guess is it won’t be too crazy either.