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Coming down good. 31 degrees.

Some of the Euro ensembles are absolutely epic for snow Eugene to BLI

ITs snowing here!!!!! OMG!

Snowing good here everything white.

Fabulous looking model runs tonight. This thing just might work out.

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/AB351CDA-F32D-42AD-8F88-83D420507589_zps9w0bruvf.png

GFS Shows a solid 3-6 inches for Seattle area. I'd say 4-8 inches up in Whatcom county and Vancouver BC. I'd be happy with that.

You're a troll. And you don't know s**t.

The Admiral never wavers.

Huge improvement on the ensembles. The first ten days of February look solidly cold again. 12z GFS pushes our first shot at 50+ for the month back to day 11. And most importantly, gobs of snow up north.

The WRF is fun to look at. Showing 2 feet here by Saturday night and still snowing heavily.

Steve pool said the snow we are seeing tonight should be the last as we warm up this weekend. So, don't worry all the snow is about done after tonight. Does this guy even look at models?? Idiot!!!

You almost have to think this is for real. All of the models show huge amounts of snow for us. The track the low takes on Sunday is dead on perfect for us. I love the cold backwash that slams in behind the low. A nice little bit of icing on the cake. The ECMWF shows some very impressive precip rates with this thing.

Everything white here now in Mountlake Terrace with solid moderate snow. I could never get tired of this in a million years.

Quite a few places now around Seattle proper have a light dusting.

Here now, you don't need to feel embarrassed about watching it again

Really sticking here even to the roads.

Trend south by another 10 miles, both SEA & PDX score and the winter is going to the record books.

You're going to get pummeled!

Don't tell the WRF

Tim is using all of his will power to keep snow out of Covington right now.

Dumping here. Easy 1/2 inch.

So both the RPM and WRF want to give the whole Willamette valley a good snowstorm Sunday as well. This map obviously doesn't go far out enough to include all of the snow that should fall further north. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/2017020300/images_d2/msnow24.96.0000.gif The reason is pretty clear now, high precip rates creating an isothermal profile http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d2/kpdx.81.0000.snd.gif

It was dumping... This fell in a few min... Temp fell from 37 to 33 in less than 5min

not here. I am about 5 miles south of port orchard at a friends house and its coming down good. Ground is white.

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F7392356-1643-449E-A3E9-CA2D74C3696A_zpsx8j5ypbs.png

Continues to look like an awesome snowstorm for WA.

I honestly don't know if there is another model that I trust less than the RPM.

Made him more interesting, though.

Most over the past 24 hours. 3km NAM shows Vancouver, BC getting buried.

Not to be rude. BUT it's OUR turn!

Have you become the new/old Andrew of the forum?

Sad to see these PDX people rooting for a south trend... share the wealth guys

Cooler aloft (in the dendritic growth zones) over northern WA. Improved crystal growth = improved ratios.

Hate speech is purely subjective and is in no way tantamount to yelling fire in a crowded theatre. There are plenty of irresponsible provocateurs on the right and the left but they have the right to do so. Practice what you preach, California.

Through 102hrs, more to come: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/023DC81B-0E5E-4DE5-AB0F-3D99B1C08272_zpse9lo352o.png

That 12z GFS run This is the one. I can feel it.

Wrf has sucked this winter

^^^^^^^^^^^

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017020212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_16.png Strange map. Snowing pretty much all along the OR coast with temps near freezing even at PDX and 0c or colder aloft but all rain there. That is close to a perfect track for you guys up north though.

Wow, looks like another medium range model disaster turns favorable once again. Have had many of those this season and after the mid range flip they have verified and even improved leading up to the event. Good sign for next week.

Just when I was ready to give up it sucks me right back in again. I hate this merry-go-round model runs.

I'm sure there are many on here who are ready for Spring to arrive. How soon will we see our first 60's, 70's and spring time thunderstorms??? Will we see an El Nino forming this Summer??? I started a separate thread for that possibility and it is certainly on the table as more modeling is picking up on it. Trends in the models are that we will see an early Spring as we flip the calendar into meteorological Spring. Let's Discuss... Here is the latest CFSv2 run for March... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2017020118/cfs-mon_01_T2ma_us_1.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2017020118/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png Latest CanSIPS run... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cansips/2017020100/cansips_T2ma_us_2.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cansips/2017020100/cansips_apcpna_month_us_2.png The JAMSTEC model is also showing a very warm Spring... http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/temp2.glob.MAM2017.1jan2017.gif Seems a bit to dry in the central CONUS... http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/2007/forecast/tprep.glob.MAM2017.1jan2017.gif There has been some talk of growing concerns of a possible drought this summer in the heartland. The missouri valley has been very dry and if this region expands heading into the Spring, might not be a good growing season for parts of the Midwest/Plains. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/pngs/current/current_usdm.png

Seattle NWS says that's just your imagination.

Just trend that euro about 100 miles south and we ll be in business.

Ensemble mean drops to -10c early next week. This escalated quickly....

I may have to send you a bleeding heart PM over it.