MossMan Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 Pretty clear upward trend overall... http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.pngNice!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 Nice!!18Z GFS and ECMWF ensemble mean are even nicer. However... you are only allowed to like one type of weather. Cheering for active weather and some rain and then warmer weather and sunshine is not allowed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 I'm going to respond to a few things here, then I'm moving on. I honestly didn't realize how greatly you value your "holier than thou" pedestal. If I had, I wouldn't have poked you about it. So for that, I apologize, and will refrain from bringing it up again after this exchange. That being said, some of your characterizations of me (at least nowadays) ooze the same degree of "irony" you claim exists within my apparent "assessment" of you. There's a butt load of irony in your assessment of me given the fact I don't embellish my credentials, I don't exaggerate my knowledge and I don't overcook my weather observations. I just don't think you appreciate honesty because honesty is not your first language.Aside from the fact I haven't done any of this in years, your repeated accusatory labeling of me (and others) as attention seekers easily makes you the king of "irony", given you're probably the most prolific attention-seeker here. To elaborate, it's more or less the fact you've constructed an entire personality here, solely for the purpose of distinguishing yourself as "above" everyone else, which you seek to maintain even if it requires you to attack and/or characterize others' "personalities" in contrast to "your" personality you've constructed here. It's annoying. If someone pays attention to something I post, so be it. It is however clear you have and still do go out of your way for attention, and it bites you in the a** pretty routinely, which is sad because you have a valuable skill set but you just haven't quite shook the whole lying d-bag thing and it bleeds through.Honestly, this is exactly what I feel you do, only you go about it differently than used to. The difference now is, I've let go and moved on from the metaphorically photoshopped version of myself I constructed here, while you have yet to come close to doing so. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 Phil... maybe some fall-ish weather for you next weekend! At least much less humid. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/18/namer/500_vort_ht/gfs_namer_198_500_vort_ht.gif Edit... I see the NE flow around the storm offshore has your dewpoint down to 57 right now.Heck yeah, I spent most of the afternoon outside. Actually might be able to sleep with the windows open for the first time in four months. Unfortunately, we're right back into low/mid 90s next week, then more heat after the next brief cooldown. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 I'm going to respond to a few things here, then I'm moving on. I honestly didn't realize how greatly you value your "holier than thou" pedestal. If I had, I wouldn't have poked you about it. So for that, I apologize, and will refrain from bringing it up again after this exchange. That being said, some of your characterizations of me (at least nowadays) ooze the same degree of "irony" you claim exists within my apparent "assessment" of you. Aside from the fact I haven't done any of this in years, your repeated accusatory labeling of me (and others) as attention seekers easily makes you the king of "irony", given you're probably the most prolific attention-seeker here. To elaborate, it's more or less the fact you've constructed an entire personality here, solely for the purpose of distinguishing yourself as "above" everyone else, which you seek to maintain even if it requires you to attack and/or characterize others' "personalities" in contrast to "your" personality you've constructed here. It's annoying. Honestly, this is exactly what I feel you do, only you go about it differently than used to. The difference now is, I've let go and moved on from the metaphorically photoshopped version of myself I constructed here, while you have yet to come close to doing so. In my opinion, deweydog is probably the most level-headed and rational person who consistently posts here. I didn't make this post to knock you, this is just my opinion of deweydog. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 3, 2016 Report Share Posted September 3, 2016 In my opinion, deweydog is probably the most level-headed and rational person who consistently posts here. I didn't make this post to knock you, this is just my opinion of deweydog.I respect your opinion. It's my opinion that he holds an obsessive desire to be viewed as "level headed" and truly "holier than thou", relative to everyone else here. It's also my opinion that he takes care to make sure this "image" remains unchallenged, even if it means attacking the characters and personalities of others here. Hence, why he went off when I jokingly compared him to the people he spends his time constrasting himself with. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 18z ensembles are the coolest yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Just checked the Euro ensembles too. They are actually cooler than the operational over the weekend. Then just as cool as the op beyond that until the day 10 frame, where things are clearly becoming pretty smoothed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 VUO scored a 68/48 today. Early October-ish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Clear upward trend on 18Z GFS ensembles. http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I'm going to respond to a few things here, then I'm moving on. I honestly didn't realize how greatly you value your "holier than thou" pedestal. If I had, I wouldn't have poked you about it. So for that, I apologize, and will refrain from bringing it up again after this exchange. That being said, some of your characterizations of me (at least nowadays) ooze the same degree of "irony" you claim exists within my apparent "assessment" of you. Aside from the fact I haven't done any of this in years, your repeated accusatory labeling of me (and others) as attention seekers easily makes you the king of "irony", given you're probably the most prolific attention-seeker here. To elaborate, it's more or less the fact you've constructed an entire personality here, solely for the purpose of distinguishing yourself as "above" everyone else, which you seek to maintain even if it requires you to attack and/or characterize others' "personalities" in contrast to "your" personality you've constructed here. It's annoying. Honestly, this is exactly what I feel you do, only you go about it differently than used to. The difference now is, I've let go and moved on from the metaphorically photoshopped version of myself I constructed here, while you have yet to come close to doing so.I just don't think you like being challenged in any way shape or form. Case in point. You can't let this go. As I and others have said, you are an intelligent guy, but level-headedness is not quite on your radar yet and you get lost in your own vanity. We all have to deal with the fallout of this and I think most people tolerate it fairly well, look for the good in it. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Clear upward trend on 18Z GFS ensembles. http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.pngEnsemble mean continues to look cooler than previous runs, though. More show the cool trough around days 8-10, and more cool members in the long range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Heck yeah, I spent most of the afternoon outside. Actually might be able to sleep with the windows open for the first time in four months. Unfortunately, we're right back into low/mid 90s next week, then more heat after the next brief cooldown. Enjoy! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Ensemble mean continues to look cooler than previous runs, though. More show the cool trough around days 8-10, and more cool members in the long range. Ensemble mean heights around 582DM next weekend... sounds like a nice weekend regardless. And the ridge builds strongly in the 10-15 day period. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I think it will cool down after the warm up. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I think it will cool down after the warm up. Good call. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Alabama or USC... who do we hate more? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Alabama or USC... who do we hate more? Alabama is going to destroy USC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Alabama is going to destroy USC.Maybe that was a bad prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I just don't think you like being challenged in any way shape or form. Case in point. You can't let this go.I hate being challenged? Look in the mirror. I jokingly poked you (I didn't even call you out directly) and your response was a super defensive, long winded novel about how I'm a liar, an attention seeker, an exaggerator, etc. Literally a dramatic, exaggeratory rant about me being dramatic and exaggeratory. Come on, even you have to admit the ridiculousness of this. As I and others have said, you are an intelligent guy, but level-headedness is not quite on your radar yet and you get lost in your own vanity.You've said this a million times. You have this tendency (I'm not sure if it's conscious or subconscious) to analyze, critique, and label people by character and/or motivation. It's quite off putting, to say the least. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I hate being challenged? Look in the mirror. I jokingly poked you (I didn't even call you out directly) and your response was a super defensive, long winded novel about how I'm a liar, an attention seeker, an exaggerator, etc. Literally a dramatic, exaggeratory rant about me being dramatic and exaggeratory. Come on, even you have to admit the ridiculousness of this. You've said this a million times. You have this tendency (I'm not sure if it's conscious or subconscious) to analyze, critique, and label people by character and/or motivation. It's quite off putting, to say the least.Wow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Wow.Wow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I hate being challenged? Look in the mirror. I jokingly poked you (I didn't even call you out directly) and your response was a super defensive, long winded novel about how I'm a liar, an attention seeker, an exaggerator, etc. Literally a dramatic, exaggeratory rant about me being dramatic and exaggeratory. Come on, even you have to admit the ridiculousness of this. You've said this a million times. You have this tendency (I'm not sure if it's conscious or subconscious) to analyze, critique, and label people by character and/or motivation. It's quite off putting, to say the least. Come on dude. We all do that. That's human nature. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Power just went out! A precursor to this coming awesomely severe winter??? 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Come on dude. We all do that. That's human nature.Yes, yes we do Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Power just went out! A precursor to this coming awesomely severe winter???Windy over there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Come on dude. We all do that. That's human nature.Sure, we all hold various opinions of one another, and we all interpret things differently from time to time. There's a difference between sharing those opinions within the appropriate context, and regurgitating the same character attacks solely to diminish and insult someone, all based on a number of perceived dispositions. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Wow.I know he is a smart dude, but he is completely oblivious to how he is percieved here, he doesn't get it. Why you defend him is baffling. Anyone that gets offended by internet forum oponions has more issues than I can imagine! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 PDX is running -6 for the first three days of September, while SEA has only managed a pathetic -2.3. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Sure, we all hold various opinions of one another, and we all interpret things differently from time to time. There's a difference between sharing those opinions within the appropriate context, and regurgitating the same character attacks solely to diminish and insult someone, all based on a number of perceived dispositions. I see it as more of a back and forth... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 I know he is a smart dude, but he is completely oblivious to how he is percieved here, he doesn't get it. Why you defend him is baffling. Anyone that gets offended by internet forum oponions has more issues than I can imagine!Well, I'm not "offended" at all, so I think it's your perception of people that needs work, not mine. I know very well how you (and a few others) perceive me. I've made it clear that I don't like you, and you've made it clear you don't like me. Let's leave it at that and be done with it. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 In the really bizarre category....PDX had a -7.5 today while Bellingham had a +2. Kind of the same thing we saw in July with southern areas being more anomalously cold. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 18z ensembles are the coolest yet. The little cold shot on September 12th has really emerged nicely today. Very good chance we will see the region as a whole run below normal for the first half of the month. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Well, I'm not "offended" at all, so I think it's your perception of people that needs work, not mine. I know very well how you (and a few others) perceive me. I've made it clear that I don't like you, and you've made it clear you don't like me. Let's leave it at that and be done with it.If you weren't offended you would not act the way you do, pretty simple... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Windy over there?Not at all...currently a mystery. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Maybe that was a bad prediction. No... its was a solid prediction. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 The little cold shot on September 12th has really emerged nicely today. Very good chance we will see the region as a whole run below normal for the first half of the month. Here is the afternoon of 9/12 on the 18Z GFS: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/18/namer/500_vort_ht/gfs_namer_222_500_vort_ht.gif The EPS ensemble mean does not really show much of a trough next weekend or early the follow week either. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 Quite an interesting pattern being forecasted for the second half of September, especially by the GEFS. Notable poleward displacement of the climatological anticyclones. This would increase the potential for a wave to break right into the Arctic circle at some point in late September. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 If you weren't offended you would not act the way you do, pretty simple...Or, maybe you're just not very good at reading social cues? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 4, 2016 Report Share Posted September 4, 2016 FWIW... the most recent ECMWF weeklies are warm starting later next week until the end of the run in the middle of October. The latest CFS run looks exactly the same. Nothing but warm anomalies out west past the middle of October (to the end of the run) Honestly... I sense some unhappy cold anomaly fans coming up here through most of October. Just a feeling. Nature will probably deliver 45 days of warmth to offset 10 days of a little cool weather. That is not sarcasm or meant to be mean-spirited. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.