Front Ranger Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 What a terrible way to begin autumn over the lower 48. It's almost weird seeing legitimate western troughing on the models. That ridge has dominated you guys for what seems like an eternity. The SE ridge has also been persistent this summer. We've already had 45 90+ days. PDX has nothing on DCA. Relative to average, PDX has far outdone DC this summer. - DCA has had years with almost 70 90+ degree days. PDX has already set their annual record. - DCA is running about +2 for the summer. PDX is +4.8, hottest summer on record. Not even close for DCA. - DCA has zero 100+ days. PDX has 2. Meanwhile, here on the Front Range it's been a very average summer, with no extreme heat. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Not surprising. August should feature a sizable drop.Still looks like a solid +PDO to me. http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2015/anomnight.8.24.2015.gif Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Close call at PDX! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Close call at PDX!Really racking up those 85+ days! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Still looks like a solid +PDO to me. Oh, definitely. Just not the unhinged, off the charts +PDO of July. Probably will come in around +1.1 to +1.4. Still quite positive, but a sizable drop. The warm pool in the North Pacific has pushed east some, which means PDO goes down. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Really racking up those 85+ days!Hopefully tomorrow is the last one of 2015! Jinx city!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 #27. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 #27.Dumb. Now it's gonna be stuck at an odd number. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 The lows have been overachieving this week, but so have the highs! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Dumb. Now it's gonna be stuck at an odd number.September's gonna be so cold the numbers may decrease. I say we end up at 24.5. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Oh, definitely. Just not the unhinged, off the charts +PDO of July. Probably will come in around +1.1 to +1.4. Still quite positive, but a sizable drop. The warm pool in the North Pacific has pushed east some, which means PDO goes down.I assume you meant to say west? If the warm pool is pushing east that should spike the PDO. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 The lows have been overachieving this week, but so have the highs! ! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 I assume you meant to say west? If the warm pool is pushing east that should spike the PDO. Yes, west. Towards the East. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 This is a pretty cool site: http://www.bonap.org/Climate%20Maps/ClimateMaps.html Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Not a lot of posting going on, considering we may have some of the most active weather in months on the way starting tomorrow. I figured some people would be scouring the models for some hint at the return of ridging in the long range, at very least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Models backing of precip amounts in W. Oregon http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_RAIN_NWOREGON.jpg Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 12z likes the idea of a breezy Saturday morning. Could see ridging and anxiety return at some point. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Not a lot of posting going on, considering we may have some of the most active weather in months on the way starting tomorrow. Let's not get too carried away. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Not a lot of posting going on, considering we may have some of the most active weather in months on the way starting tomorrow. I figured some people would be scouring the models for some hint at the return of ridging in the long range, at very least.I just want just enough water to make it safe to have fires again for now. We have some things I've been not burning all Summer because of how dry it's been. Pretty much the only reason this was/is going to make me sad is that I was just going to get some compost brought in for growing more Garlic for next year. It will be harder to haul around if the ground is too soft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Fire season is about over. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Temps in the 40's in WA/OR in the Euro surface maps next week. Will Jesse be happy? Only time will tell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Celebrate sunshine and ridging in this land of constant troughs! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Celebrate sunshine and ridging in this land of constant troughs! Yes indeed. We live in a rainy/cloudy climate. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Let's not get too carried away.You think everyone is getting carried away. How long has it been since we saw a good rainstorm? Maybe since April? Months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 12z shows the hurricane weakening as it approaches the coast. #bulletdodged Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 You think everyone is getting carried away. How long has it been since we saw a good rainstorm? Maybe since April? Months.Two weeks ago. That was an exceptionally active event. This one may rival it but probably won't equal or exceed it. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 You think everyone is getting carried away. How long has it been since we saw a good rainstorm? Maybe since April? Months. 13 days ago... we got inundated up here! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Two weeks ago. That was an exceptionally active event. This one may rival it but probably won't equal or exceed it.Oregon mostly got skipped over with that one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Oregon mostly got skipped over with that one.That's Oregon's fault. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 You think everyone is getting carried away. How long has it been since we saw a good rainstorm? Maybe since April? Months.July, but this one will be much much much more potent than the July event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 That's Oregon's fault.I was talking a regional rain event. Not just Lewis to Snohomish County. You are being purposefully obtuse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 12z shows the hurricane weakening as it approaches the coast. #bulletdodgedBeing excited about a pattern change is soooo stupid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Never mind, let's have less discussion. More discussion seems to mostly involve people taking about gardening preferences and playing devil's advocate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Being excited about a pattern change is soooo stupid. Look at the long range. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 I was talking a regional rain event. Not just Lewis to Snohomish County. You are being purposefully obtuse.I get what you're saying, and at this point do you really think the Oregon valleys are a cinch to see a ton of rain? We're entering a troughy period, no one should or will take that away from you. But keep it in perspective. The event a couple weeks ago, while probably not entirely to your liking, was pretty incredible. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Look at the long range.Looks fallish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Looks fallish.Looks like a hurricane. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 I get what you're saying, and at this point do you really think the Oregon valleys are a cinch to see a ton of rain? We're entering a troughy period, no one should or will take that away from you. But keep it in perspective. The event a couple weeks ago, while probably not entirely to your liking, was pretty incredible.I don't remember expressing any dislike toward the 8-14 event. In fact I remember praising it. Seeing any rain was awesome. Wish we would have gotten more further south, but it was exceptional further north. No one should or will take that away from you. You're being ultra defensive about a period I never even downplayed! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Never mind, let's have less discussion. More discussion seems to mostly involve people taking about gardening preferences and playing devil's advocate. If I don't talk about gardening preferences, who will!? WHOOO!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Looks like a hurricane.Do you think we can book The Scorpions in time? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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