@TT-SEA kind of satisfying though that the reason i came up with is an actual thing. makes me feel less schizophrenic

I can tell you that when the ECMWF greatly diverges from the EPS... the next run usually corrects the problem. I am pretty sure the 12Z ECMWF will be much colder than the 00Z run. This is the extent of my knowledge.

Snoqualmie Casino wouldn't take my bet on lowland cold and snow this month. They would let me bet on the NFL playoff games next weekend but not the weather. WTF?

I’m talking about diversity of species, not numbers of individuals. The idea is that a catastrophic event kills off many entire species, leaving room for the surviving ones to diversify into the evolutionary niches that were filled by the extinct species.

ah--haven't been paying attention to the near-term weather much