I think he is referencing a bombed out 500 mb that is too far west.

If it was the 20th time with snow in a model run within 10 days we would be having a very different winter.

Yeah, there's still time for this winter to elevate above the worst of the worst, but original poster was talking about if it ended now.

Sure, and it's always easier in hindsight to make such statements, but it also did feel as if momentum had shifted for a bit in the 4th quarter. Had Drake not thrown that pick and they scored on that drive, there was a ton of time left and would have been anyone's ballgame. Seen too many games this season that looked and felt over going into the 4th quarter (with other teams than Hawks mainly), and then something crazy happened.

Only the 20th time the models have shown this this winter.