As I say. Why do people even bother with the NAM?

Where is that?

40 degrees at 2:30 in the afternoon is cold for this time of year.

This kind of goes without saying, but I'd definitely undercut the output from the snow maps for this one. It's a marginal environment with temps perhaps dropping to freezing in parts of the snow band, but the duration of heavy enough snow at any one location to really fully overcome the warm ground and marginal temps to allow for efficient accumulation is very questionable. I'm not sure what kind of reduction factor to apply yet though.

Snowing at SFU now. First snow west of the mountains so far this winter, I think