Well there is another fine AR in the long range on the GFS.

TREND NORTH

The 00z EURO shows insane upper level winds just offshore late Tuesday afternoon and early evening! The highest winds looks to be at Tuesday 7pm. Those 850mb winds you typically only see near the eye of major hurricane/super typhoon. The low will need to track closer to the Coast for us to see damaging winds but 943mb is wild, the Columbus Day storm didn’t get as deep but it also took a closer track near the Coast.

I'm a little disappointed we probably won't hit 20" of rain this month. 15" still a good possibility though. California and Southern Oregon need it more than us, and our snowpack will stay intact and even build.

1.45" of rain overnight. 7.47" on the month.