Not here

Cancer by the lake

I just know the other shoe has to drop. These Nina seasons that start out so lame usually kick us good when they hit. By many metrics we are in a Nina despite the current SST anoms. The MEI has been -0.5 or lower for months now. I think this very high SOI / strong trade wind burst coming up will drop the ENSO SSTs substantially over the next two weeks. This is further supported by subsurface water under the ENSO regions being consistently -0.7 or below.

Incredibly messy pattern coming up. Good chance that big model changes will happen with little warning.

Yea it is. Decided to get some yard work done this afternoon after I got off early. Nice ending to today