January 60 burgers showing up on the latest Euro.

3 years ago today. Our best December event. Well since 2008.

The AI model just refuses to shut down the pacific over the next 2+ weeks. Just a relentless rain parade.

Strong PV regime will do that. Which is somewhat counterintuitive until you really think about it. In actuality it’s the clear, calm conditions associated with weak vortex states that promote the development of deep arctic airmasses/mobile polar highs. In strong/stacked vortex states those arctic airmasses are confined to small regions within the TPV(s).

Yeah, any winter can turn around unexpectedly. That year was a complete turd on the models until the sudden shift in late January. I really would be surprised if some people on the forum don’t manage to get some snow before March despite how meh the weathers been.