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SLP went from UP of MI yesterday to S MI today. So significant improvement for us snow starved in Iowa and Illinois

Well the 18z NAVGEM still has our back (sort of).

Welcome back winter!!! Stick around for a while please!

No easy calls this winter. Something has to break your way at some point. I suggest having Tim over for a Super Bowl party. Snow loves that guy.

This has all the earmarks of a Whatcom County special.

There is still enormous potential with this, as tonight's runs are showing. Brennan is not wrong by saying earlier that the overall pattern remains nearly the same, even with the worst runs of the last 24 hours. It really will not take a huge shift to nail us harder than Steve Bannon hits his wife.

Early next week trended better on both the 00z GFS and GEM. It's all going to come down to the strong L on Sunday. The farther south it comes in the better.

Regardless of one's views on euthanasia, I think Trump could have done a lot worse. At least Gorsuch has had a lot of bi-partisan support to this point (Obama, Clinton, and Biden all voted to confirm him previously), something desperately needed in our current government.

Those teleconnection forecasts can swing as wildly as the models. I say we have 1 more shot near the end of the month with MJO once again propagating into the EHem

Map. Pretty good for many on sub. Heck I'd take it.

Well, that de-escalated quickly!

Seems to be someone who had their account banned, or made a fool of themselves and made a new one

I'm pretty perplexed. Don't know the guy from Adam and his accusations have been pretty baseless. I almost get the feeling he has me confused with someone else

Man, King EURO looks like king GEM. Go Canadians!

I only saw a couple Puget sound folks panicking. Don't mistake ones prediction with panic.

LGBT rights are about a lot more than just marriage. In fact for me, marriage is one of the least important parts of it, but it's what's been most talked about because it's so controversial and because it's the main concern for many of the more powerful people behind the LGBT rights movement (i.e. they want to be able to get married). But LGBT rights are also about addressing things like: the fact that trans people die way earlier on average and have a far higher suicide rate than people who aren't trans; workplace discrimination; helping out kids who are homeless often because they've been kicked out of their parents' homes for not turning out the way they were supposed to; and dealing with the harassment that people who don't fit in face all the time. I'm sure there's other stuff I'm leaving out. To improve the lot for people who face these problems, who didn't used to have much of a voice at all and were either hated or ignored by most people or forced to not be themselves, is not really "spoiling" them, unless you mean we are starting to "spoil" them the same way everyone else has always been "spoiled." Creating equality for a previously less-than-equal group of people is not wrong.

Where's Wizardo?

I agree with this. I like the fact that he seems to have some bipartisan support. From everything I have read up on him he seems like a good choice.

The shift on the 00z runs last night was pretty surprising!

00z is a small step in the right direction

Remember when Tim was the only one obsessing over Jim?

This is a joke right? HIs logical fallacies are frequent and often glaring. And made all the worse by the fact that he doesn't even seem to be aware of them and appears to actually buy into extreme views rather than just mocking them. Do you honestly think someone who blindly buys into extreme views is better than someone who sees through that kind of thinking and routinely mocks it?

The definition of hyperbole is not BS. That is fact. I definitely don't agree with Jim on some things, but at least he doesn't create straw man arguments constantly. Sorry I don't lay into him as much as you'd like, as much as you do.

I agree that it makes the left look bad. Unfortunately, the vast majority of liberals who don't want these protests to turn violent can't do much to stop the tiny number of anarchists who do. Most recent protests have been peaceful. For example, I was at the women's march in Bellingham a week or two ago, and there were thousands of people there -- more than I'd ever seen in one place in Bellingham before. Everyone I saw was being calm, collected, peaceful, and respectful of everyone else there, including the police who were monitoring the protest and the one guy who was heckling us. That to me was an ideal protest.

Nah just pointing out once again how something so small on a larger scale can impact us so greatly Also... my point that the pattern atill being depicted by the models is far closer to something really good than that the one being shown before the dramatic shift the other day.

Good thing you have managed to find the perfect balance. You need to write a manifesto to the rest of the country telling us all how you did it and what this new enlightened way of thinking fully entails.

Lovin' this! It's like a warning for a rogue T-storm cell. Have to get my daughter from work ,before that 2nd wave hits here. Stepping out..

I think by the weekend, models should have a better handling of the track.

Stunned - GRR floats the "b-word" in their pm update "The ECMWF ensembles from last night and the operational ECMWF from the 12z run favor a much farther south track that would result in a near blizzard here Wed of next week. Meanwhile the GFS is farther north so we would get snow to rain back to snow. At this point we will continue to watch this as either way this could be one our more impactful storms of the winter."

http://i1.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/044/247/297.png

I like cold core storms and hail. I said something about that before he ever mentioned the impact on his vegetables. Nothing angry about it.

I'm hoping for the hailstorms too.

We have ta make up for the loss of January, so, yes, winter till mid March Pls.

This clipper provided another 0.5" last night, so, grand total for January snowfall is 9.5".

You wasted your potential. You could have been great. Sad!

I think you met 98-99 where we got a couple late season events 99-00 happen in a two week span in mid to late january.

There's a joke in there somewhere! Liking the south trends so far. Just want to stay on the cold side.

You're a Trump supporter.

Come on -AO...work your magic!!! What a turn of events if this storm pans out to something big for most of the sub forum.

City of Portland having a press conference this afternoon to outline how they're going to handle the winter storm. Tune in and save the ones you love!

Much further south with 850s this run compared to yesterday. Even has snow as far south as i80 in iowa

12+ from eastern MN through most of WI and MI

Actually, I just saw a sounding from the 12z WRF-GFS and it looks really unimpressive. It pretty much just shows some cold rain.

I'm not sure, I know Bellingham is in Minnesota AND Massachusetts though, so it's possible. Not finding any Lake Whatcoms on the Thurston or Pierce County maps though. Weird.

Looks like it snowed again late last night. My street was snow covered. Looks like I received an extra 0.5". Its Winter wonderland outside.

Welcome to winter in the Rockies! The crazy weather swings within a few hours are one of my favorite aspects of this climate.

Big time. Can't even get a half a** windstorm out of this horrifically dull winter. Bring on the sun and warmth.

yeah coming home from work and it was pretty much a whiteout. North of Milwaukee and most of WI are probably above average snowfall so far this year.

Quite a different look with more HP to the north...Blizzard for MN/WI/IA...