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I give Steve P a lot of credit he is a weenie like us who parlayed his enthusiasm and journalism degree into a dream job, let's not be jealous.

Somebody's gonna get over a foot of snow out of this thing. I want that somebody to be me.

Looks like the nightmare may finally be coming to an end for the Puget Sound region. The last few ECMWF runs have been fantastic and the GFS has been fine also. Looking like a solid cold shot on Monday to go along with the snow.

I'm back!!!

Yeah, not really appropriate to be trashing the guy on here when he's not here to defend himself and seems like a nice fellow.

Don't forget that a couple lows have actually had a last minute jog to the north in the final 24 hours this winter. The overall progression has seemed to trend them south from 2-4 days out, then correct north again at the last moment.

I was about to accuse you of being a meanie.

Snow really coming down here now.

That's big. Typically you're not much a homer.

The GFS resolution isn't good enough to show the layer going isothermal...This run looks better for PDX than the 18z to me...Heavier precip for PDX and the valley.

00z GFS has the low heading in a bit further north it seems.

Was just about to post this....Would be a once in 25-30 year event if it verified...

The NAM shows me getting a foot. Would be crazy if the Portland area could pull off two perfect storms in one winter.

00z NAM is showing what I believe is probably going to be the best possible scenario for PDX. Crazy snowfall rates.

The NAM looks fun for the Portland area. HEAVY SNOW.

00z NAM definitely significantly further North than the 18z through hour 45 (Sunday afternoon.) Looks to bulls eye Portland to Kelso rather than Eugene to Salem.

I'm worried my refresh button will be broken by Monday night. That or it may catch fire.

5.25" so far here. 31F with the wind still from the north.

Got about 3" where I work in SE Burnaby and 3-4" here in North Vancouver. Still snowing.

Oh just mainly the layering you have to do even if it's only for a few minutes! They do pretty well with the roads here but sometimes parking can be problematic around town. Luckily both of our cars are AWD and do great in the snow. Of course found out real quick to not leave the car outside in below zero temps for too long either! Takes a little longer to get mail/packages and generally things get done a little slower here but that's also one of the big reason why we made the move! Slower pace and just stunning beauty every direction you look. Love it here.

Newest member!

Spring-like extremes sheesh! Would perfectly portray the season in mby actually. Torch>>>>LES. How it kicked-off in Nov and looks to continue the theme. Considering a short work day Wed to chase farther north. Wanna see legit bliz conditions if any way possible. Once in 30 yrs on the table with this...By the time it comes back around I won't be chasing anything but my mis-placed dentures

Rpm is the section 8 weather model. Super ghetto

Seattle people should do fine regardless of where the main action ends up with the Sunday storm. As I pointed out yesterday, all models have been showing plenty of precip opportunities for Monday/Tuesday even well to the north of the storm. This isn't going to be like the 12/14 or 1/10 systems that had sharp northern cutoffs.

He's very good natured. Good friends with Mark Nelsen. They banter about their forecasts which is great as they don't take it as a life and death thing. Mark obviously is in a league of his own. Steve holds his own in his forecasts whether he has a degree in atmospheric science or not.

Good post, he also has a good sense of humor. They tease him pretty hard on some of the Facebook groups and he puts up with it like a grown up.

I've been around Steve a number of times. He MC's the OMSI meteorological society fall meetings and does a great job. I've been up at Crown Point for the obscene wind events up there when he and many of us other weather junkies hang out and is very gregarious and respectful to all. Whether he is a formally trained met or not, he's pretty thorough and comprehensive in his analysis and is pretty good (meaning accurate) as accurate as anyone else. He certainly has done as well as most of the local mets. To even put him in the same sentence as Martin is pretty insulting. If you want to take aim at him, maybe the respectuful thing to do is message him on his FB page and get the facts before you put a target on his back.

FYI 12z ECMWF ensemble mean is about 5-7 inches for both PDX and SEA metros.

I don't think pointing out that Steve Pierce, who Dewey describes as "a weenie with a necktie, but a really nice guy", was nothing like Kevin Martin is overreacting. Loose or not, didn't seem like a fair comparison. I feel like you view every opinion that doesn't exactly match yours as a direct assault. They really aren't.

Sorry, but SP is a weenie with a neck tie. Seems like a really nice guy, though.

Woke up to 3/4 inch fluffy snow on all surfaces. Nice surprise

I think we are all going to score on this euro run. I see 4-5 inch totals over SEA by HR 66. Should be more coming.

I got 1" and it stopped. 7" total for the winter spread out between 4 events. BLUE BALLS MY DUDE

I hope it snows a lot everywhere but more here. I like snow.

Up to an inch here now. Flakes turned really fine. Snow is blowing around. Doesn't FEEL like a rainy day. Guess we'll see

Steady light to moderate snow with a temp of 28 degrees here now.

The deformation band has hit, 32F and dumping snow here in Victoria now.

NWS in Des Moines lives for warm weather. Not only did the tweet the February torch outlook with words "mid February looks nice" with a thumbs up....Not only that but also tweeted that Honolulu NWS has issued more winter storm warnings this winter than they have. If that doesn't piss off winter lovers, nothing will. Screw their bias. D**n liberal NWS! Lol... Couldn't resist

BLI is on the north end of town, but it appears they just had sleet at best for most of the day. They definitely weren't getting snow. The webcams showed the snow this afternoon all falling north of Ferndale.

Looking at the 00z NAM through 32 hours I think the nexus of heaviest snow will be between Salem and Portland or about 20-30 miles north of the 18z....Just a prediction.

See you for the 00z runs.

I don't think that cheesy model or whatever it is has ever been even close to accurate.

12z NAVGEM looking pretty much the same as 06z. Pretty good agreement for now on this track across quite a few models except the GFS. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2017020312/navgem_mslp_pcpn_nwus_11.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navgem/2017020312/navgem_mslp_pcpn_nwus_12.png

Going to predict Portland will be the big winner

I'm gonna take a page from Luvsnowseattle's playbook and say **** This Winter, **** It To Hell

You misunderstood my intent...and I always root for everyone here to score, except Tim. His location needs no rooting.

I already accepted the fact PDX will out preform Puget Sound once again. Truly disgusting

It's the NAM...

I see the Euro went south. European models vs. GFS but have noticed the GFS has been trending south as well.