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12z Alert!

Staying here tonight..

Wormular globbing.

The 00z GFS is pretty great.

I need to learn to take humidity like a champ like you.

The GFS and Euro are definitely hinting at something during the Feb 25 - March 5 time frame.

The funny thing is, I get in plenty of philosophical arguments with liberals too. Liberals generally aren't nearly as misguided as conservatives, but are still plenty guilty of oversimplifying issues to the point of absurdity. We live in a world of gray area, yet everybody wants to make it black and white.

Care to share? I was -5.75 and -5.79. So at least I'm consistent I guess?

00z euro got a daddy block for Northeast pacific ocean(especially considering that it's very late februrary/early march).

Phil, looks like you should have voted Stein in '16.

Solidly cold ECMWF run.

Take the test. Would be funny if you were actually to the right of Jim.

Incredibly I ended up smack dab in the middle. That's probably due to the fact I have strongly conflicting views in different areas.

Because not everyone loses sleep at night over semantics. I might, and you might. But that leaves a whole lot of other people.

I was 0, -2.32.

At this point round one of cold weather is pretty much locked in. The much more interesting question is round 2. That one will have much greater snowfall potential if it pans out.

Sort of ironic, considering not too long ago Jesse was throwing tantrums over the number of 60+ lows @ PDX. Talk about high maintenance..he went Tim-lite for awhile there.

Haha, we don't have any other options but to wait. It's frustrating though, because he's a terrible candidate for the position.

The end of the 12z Euro is impressive, but it gets pretty chilly just 6 days from now.

5+ inches and still raining. I had to empty the rain gauge mid day so that it would not fill up.

Meh...number one with the windows down you can't hear the radio as well, number two you get completely smoked out by either a diesel ups truck or a redneck driving a 1996 dodge pickup the reeks to high hell, or you get the bugs flying in...A/C all the way for me! Nothing better than remote starting my truck on a summer day with the interior well over 100F that by the time you get in it's a comfy cool temp with the cooled seats at the perfect temp! Same goes for winter, nice and toasty when you hop in on a 17F morning!

Only the 5th time in the last 144 years that MSP has hit 60° in February, and the first time since 2000. Meanwhile I'm in Miami where it's a cool 78.

Spring is around the corner now no matter what the weather does. That said, it looks to be highly likely that the last week of February/first week of March are colder than average right now. Maybe significantly so.

Gotta agree, with the AO trending positive this thing will go up up and away....tell you one thing though can't wait for severe weather season. The thanksgiving storm, this storm which I believe correlates with the x mas storm, and the other dakota blizzard will have a high chance of at least producing one major severe outbreak for us in the central plains.

I rarely use this word but there's too much model agreement. It's a lock that the PNW will see an Arctic Blast towards the end of February into early March. There are going to be records broken in terms of temperature and snowfall for some locations in early March. Winter is going to end with a bang! ❄

Euro alert!

Yes, if Trump can deliver more jobs and focuses entirely on that campaign promise we will all be better for it.

Already up to 56F and not even Noon...probably going to crush a 137 year old record high today.

Superb location! That shot just got me itching for summer boating and beach season. Enjoy your stay this weekend.

Looking forward to a potentially record setting 6 day stretch of 60's starting today. Taking my nephews to the park today...why not??!!

Models have been trying to weaken the MJO wave prematurely, and it wouldn't surprise me to see it continue to propagate into the WHem mid-late March as opposed to dying off over the MC. The SSW/MJO connection has proved to be real multiple times this month, but the models do a horrible job and handling the connection. RMM plots however will most likely weaken the signal regardless, as they are much more susceptible to noise, such as the MC standing wave

You're just as bad as the media. Totally close minded and unwilling to give Trump any chance at all. It's going to be fun to watch all of your hopes of him falling out of power be totally denied.

00z GFS is actually insane. Even for fantasy land it is putting up some pretty impressive numbers. Someone please tell it that the picnic is over and it is time to return to reality...

Spring-like weather for this upcoming weekend and into early next week. Just amazing!

From the perspective of a human lifetime? I agree. If we swing colder over the next few decades or centuries, it wouldn't shock or impress me because this is something the climate system does and will continue to do until the Sun engulfs us at some point.

I can't believe this late in the season the storm track is still in the same exact place it has been since November. That is just ridiculous.

Dont do this to yourself again

Central based Niño with a more favorable qbo already has me wanting to skip summer and start next winter.

All of you can have it I'm ready for 60s and 70s

Such a tease. Don't reel me back in to this winter.

No bueno on that Euro map. After upper 50s to near 60 this weekend into early next week I'm calling it quits on winter.